Why it matters
Sequence-of-returns risk is sharpest in the years immediately before and after retirement. A portfolio that worked fine in accumulation may be structurally fragile in distribution — particularly if bond weight is low and equity exposure is high relative to the household's drawdown horizon.
How the indicator is computed
The diagnostic combines age, stated risk tolerance, and household-level bond weight. A near-retirement household (60+) with bond exposure under 20% triggers a review-area flag. A conservative-stated household with bond exposure under 30% triggers another. Both adjust the score downward.
What the advisor verifies
Actual income needs, Social Security and pension timing, guaranteed-income layers, tax-bracket management during withdrawal, and whether a more sophisticated bucketing or guardrails strategy fits the household. None of these decisions are made by the diagnostic alone.
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